Honest Scoreboard
Every pick we publish is graded as one flat $2 win bet from official chart payoffs — ours, the public favorite, and the track's own picks, all on the same basis. The board starts at zero and fills only with real graded races: a track record you can watch being built, not one we claim.
Meet to date
grading begins the evening of opening dayLeaderboard
every source graded identically — us includedOne flat $2 win bet on each source's top pick, graded from the official chart, dead-heats and all. Only ToS-cleared sources appear — we attribute and link out, never republish. Per our own research, nobody here — including us — is expected to beat the takeout. That honesty is the product.
| # | Who | n | Win% | ITM% | Flat ROI | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoreboard loading… | |||||||
n = graded races (win-pick published + official result)Flat ROI = profit on flat $2 win bets ÷ total staked95% CI = bootstrap confidence interval on ROIprovisional = under 30 graded races · not yet reportable
How the grading works
One flat $2 win bet per source per race, on that source's single top pick, settled at the official chart payoff — the price the public actually got. Dead-heat co-winners are credited. A race only counts once its official chart is in; nothing is graded from projections. The public favorite is the baseline: it's the bar every source on this board, our own model first, has to clear — and the takeout means most won't. We publish the losing stretches with the same font size as the wins.
Our figure is our own, computed from raw race times — a transparent input, not a market-beating prediction. The full methodology and the honest backtest (including why we claim no edge) are on the Research page →
We show real numbers — or no numbers.
Every figure on this page comes from the published scoreboard file, which is rebuilt from official charts and committed in public. Before the meet opens it is honestly empty. No cherry-picked windows, no backfilled wins, no invented track record — real grading begins opening day, July 17.