Model · Public · Tote
For every runner we line up three numbers side by side: our calibrated model, the aggregated public handicappers, and the live tote. Same race, same horses, three points of view — so you can see exactly where they agree and where they split.
On each race day this page lines up three numbers for every runner — our calibrated model, the aggregated public consensus, and the live tote — plus a consensus board of every public handicapper's pick. It fills in with real data on opening day. Only ToS-cleared sourcesare shown (our own speed figure and the track's own selections at launch); other outlets are added as each is cleared — we attribute and link, and never republish.
Everyone on this page gets graded — us included.
Our model, the public consensus, and simply backing the tote favorite are all scored the same way on the Systems Scoreboard →by flat-bet ROI and closing-line value, drawdowns and all. When our number and the crowd's diverge, that's information — not a promise.